Hey Sharks, Fin here. If your portfolio felt emotional over the last week, don’t worry… markets are about to get even more news and data to digest. Here’s what we’ve got for you today:
Breaking down Nvidia’s new $2B investment in CoreWeave ($CRWV)
An updated earnings preview for Mag 7 companies reporting this week: Microsoft, Meta, Tesla and Apple.
Let’s dive in!
🧠 Nvidia Just Put Another $2B Into CoreWeave ($CRWV)
What happened
Nvidia made a new ~$2B investment into CoreWeave, one of the hottest “AI picks-and-shovels” plays powering model training and inference for major customers. Reuters reports Nvidia’s latest funding implies CoreWeave’s valuation is north of ~$35B, and the deal adds even more heat to the AI infrastructure land grab.
Why Nvidia did it (the “don’t overthink it” version)
Nvidia’s business is simple: sell GPUs, keep demand insane, prevent bottlenecks. CoreWeave helps do all three.
This investment signals:
NVDA wants more guaranteed “GPU pull-through” (CoreWeave buys/rents a lot of compute).
NVDA wants to influence the AI cloud layer: not just chips, but who deploys them at scale.
NVDA wants optionality: if the “AI cloud wars” consolidate, you want a seat at the table (and maybe a slice of the menu).
What it means for CoreWeave
CoreWeave’s pitch is basically: “AI compute, faster than your internal IT team and more focused than the mega-clouds.” Nvidia money is both:
Rocket fuel (more capacity, faster expansion), and
Validation (the kingmaker is literally backing the kingdom).
$CRWV has been up nearly ~20% as of this writing over the past two trading sessions:
📆 Mag 7 Earnings Preview: MSFT, META, TSLA, AAPL
🟦 MICROSOFT (MSFT)
Earnings: Wed (Jan 28) after close
Last earnings (quick recap):
Microsoft beat expectations and highlighted AI momentum (but the market’s reaction usually hinges on Azure + guidance).
What Wall Street cares about most:
Azure growth + AI contribution
Capex trajectory (data centers aren’t cheap)
Copilot adoption (cool demo ≠ recurring revenue)
Bull case (simple): Azure re-accelerates + AI monetization shows up in guidance.
Bear case (simple): Azure growth slows or capex scares the street.
Current setup (going in):
MSFT’s vibe into earnings is more “prove the AI spend is worth it” than “beat-and-raise.” Recent commentary has highlighted investor sensitivity to the AI bubble / capex narrative and what that means for margins and guidance.
Translation: even a “beat” can get sold if Azure/AI commentary isn’t spicy enough.
Options market implying (post-earnings move):
Options are pricing roughly a ±5.10% move for the earnings week.
With MSFT around $470, that’s about ±$24 (roughly $446 to $494).
Bonus nerd nugget: “max pain” for the Jan 30 weekly options shows $460 (not destiny… but worth watching as a magnet level).
🟪 META (META)
Earnings: Wed (Jan 28) after close
Last earnings (market memory):
Last big report cycle, META’s results sparked a sharp selloff tied to guidance / spend fears.
What Wall Street cares about most:
Ad pricing + impressions
Reels monetization
AI spend vs. efficiency narrative
Reality Labs losses (aka “the metaverse tax”)
Bull case: Ads stay hot + spend discipline holds.
Bear case: Guidance spooks or Reality Labs losses balloon.
Current setup (going in):
META’s setup is basically: ads + AI monetization vs. capex anxiety.
Some Wall Street coverage frames the key question as 2026 spending/CapEx and AI ROI, not just the quarter’s numbers.
There’s also been fresh bullishness from analysts focused on Meta’s ad “demand machine” and longer-term upside.
Options market implying (post-earnings move):
Options are pricing roughly ±6.73% for the earnings week.
With META around $672, that’s about ±$45 (roughly $627 to $718).
Historically, META’s “implied vs actual” earnings moves have been in the high single digits on average (aka this thing can gap).
🔴 TESLA (TSLA)
Earnings: Wed (Jan 28) after close
Last earnings (vibes check):
The stock dipped in the immediate reaction window as margin/volume nerves hung around.
What Wall Street cares about most:
Auto gross margins (the religion)
Deliveries outlook
FSD attach rate / software take-rate
Any updates on Robotaxi / autonomy timelines
Bull case: Margin stabilization + compelling autonomy narrative.
Bear case: Weak guidance + margins stay under pressure.
Current setup (going in):
TSLA earnings setups are never “cars only.” The market’s listening for robotaxi/FSD + robotics/Optimus narrative, especially with EV demand softness in the backdrop.
If Elon sells the “AI/robotics revenue engine” story well, TSLA can rip even on meh numbers (and vice versa).
Options market implying (post-earnings move):
One mainstream read on options pricing: traders expect about ~5% move post-earnings by week’s end.
Options-focused sources show a similar ballpark (mid-single digits). e.g., ~6% for the earnings week.
With TSLA around $435, that’s roughly ±$22 to ±$26 (roughly $409 to $461 depending on which measure you use).
⚪️ APPLE (AAPL)
Earnings: Thu (Jan 29) after close
Last earnings (what mattered):
Apple benefited from a “relief rally” setup when results beat expectations and guidance didn’t implode.
What Wall Street cares about most:
iPhone demand + China commentary
Services growth + margins
AI strategy (yes, investors are grading Apple on vibes now)
Bull case: Services strength + stable iPhone narrative.
Bear case: China weakness or soft guidance triggers “is Apple a bond?” discourse.
Current setup (going in):
Apple’s setup reads like: “show me Services strength + tell me the iPhone/China story isn’t getting worse.” That’s been a recurring framing in recent earnings preview coverage.
The stock’s been under pressure at points recently, so this print is a chance for either a relief rally or “six down weeks? make it seven.”
Options market implying (post-earnings move):
Options are pricing roughly ±4.16% for the earnings week.
With AAPL around $255, that’s about ±$11 (roughly $245 to $266).
🧪 Fin’s Earnings Survival Kit (30-second checklist)
Beat + raise: stock usually pops
Beat + guide down: market says “thanks for nothing”
In-line + strong commentary: can still rally
Capex up (MSFT/META): watch how they explain ROI
Margins down (TSLA): watch how they frame future improvements
If you found today’s newsletter helpful, please share or forward to a friend.
Sent with bite,
– Fin 🦈
This content is for educational purposes only. Read our full disclaimer here. Not financial advice. Fin is a shark, not your fiduciary.